Planning for Five Major Mutually Reinforcing Discontinuities
This discussion was about how the following five things affect vendors and the IT landscape:
- SAAS
- Global Class [Infrastructure]
- Open Source
- Web 2.0
- Consumerization
SAAS
- Vendors are scrambling to figure out how to fit into the new model.
- They should be looking at it as a deployment and financing option but most aren’t.
- Requires a different business relationship: Service levels, vendor is responsible for functionality (rather than customer)
- Easy for customers to experiment with
- Never-ending payments
- Security, integration concerns
- Big plays: Team collaboration, web conferencing, eLearning
Global Class [Infrastructure]
- Extremely loosely-coupled
- REST/POX (Plain Old XML)
- Assumes that security threats are everywhere
- Does not assume any particular platform, OS, or browser
- At the current rate of scale-out, by 2010, 30% of the world’s servers will be in the Googleplex
Open Source
- Not just about acquisition cost. Pay attention to TCO.
- Impact of open source is understated. (The presenter meant it was understated in the market as a whole, but I’d say it was also understated by Gartner and at this conference, specifically. Maybe they were holding out for the Gartner Open Source conference later in the week?)
- No throat to choke (I’d say this is true only for non-commercial open source projects).
- Study shows that if open source databases were bought like licensed software, they’d have 40% of the relational database market
- Bottom line: What is your risk profile? (I thought this was a little much).
The Web 2.0 and Consumerization discussions were essentially repeats of prior sessions. Digital Immigrants/Digital Natives, Directors vs. Leaders, “Get a MySpace for your place”, etc., etc.
On innovation
- Innovation occurs in the hands of the users so let the users go
- Failure breeds success
- “Democratizing Innovation”, by Eric Von Hippel (I found a free PDF of his book at http://web.mit.edu/evhippel/www/democ.htm)
Why Your Intranet Should be More Like the Internet
“The workplace should work like a machine, but adapt like a marketplace.”
On “Knowledge Management”: The internet is already solving the problem of content classification/organization and expertise location. Why not use these tools internally?
According to a Gartner study, the most often deployed (> 50% of orgs) social software types are currently: Email, IM, Web Conferencing, and Team Workspace. Less often are: Wikis/Blogs, RSS, Expertise Location, Social Tags/Bookmarks. (It is interesting to note, however, that most of the conference presentations treated “Wikis/Blogs” as almost passe, saying, “Most of you are already experimenting with these technologies internally”)
Social software functionality can be grouped into technologies that help:
- Create
- Organize
- Find
- Interact
Gartner is preparing its Magic Quadrant for Social Software. No one’s in the Magic Quadrant yet. The categories of vendors will likely be:
- Social Software Suites
- Wiki-centric
- Blog-centric
- Discussion-centric
- Specialists
Critical functionality for social software deployments in the enterprise:
- Open (from a technical perspective and from a “who can use it” perspective) and easy-to-use
- Expose connections through bookmarks/tags
- Provide a bridge to email
- Focus on people first. Identify evangelists. Appeal to self-interests
- Provide initial structure but be flexible and don’t overdo it
- Lead by example, reward participants with attention